Unit 8: Keeping Current with The Weather
Forecasting :: AFFIRMS :: Warnings :: Management :: Services :: Mobile Units :: Forecasts :: Monitoring :: Exercises
Exercise 1
General fire weather forecasts
Use the general forecast for the afternoon and the morning update, then complete the following items.

- Question 1: What does the discussion portion of both forecasts give you?
- Question 2: According to the discussion and the specific zone forecasts on the afternoon forecast, the greatest lightning risk tonight is in what zone?
- Question 3: If you are in zone 103, how do you expect the winds to change tomorrow over today?
- Question 4: According to the updated or morning forecast, do you think there will be a greater or lesser risk of thunderstorms for zone 108 than indicated in the earlier forecast?
Exercise 2
Special spot weather forecasts
Using the forecast request form, complete the following items.

- Question 1: What general information about your fire should be provided to the forecaster?
- Question 2: What weather data from the fire is submitted with a request for a spot weather forecast?
- Question 3: How do you obtain the necessary weather data at your fire to assist the forecaster?
Exercise 3
Comparing various forecasts
Complete the following items.
- Question 1: What common elements do each of the weather forecasts have?
- Question 2: How are spot weather forecasts dependent on field weather observations?
- Question 3: Why do you suppose a meteorologist on the fire could produce a better forecast than a spot forecast prepared at a fire weather office?
- Question 4: How could a smoke management forecast be of value to firefighters?
- Question 5: How does the fire behavior forecast differ from fire weather forecasts?
Copyright 2008,
Michael Jenkins.
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